أ.د. ابراهيم قاسم ابراهيم
  • RADIAL BASIS FUNCTION NEURAL NETWORKS-BASED SHORT TERM ELECTRIC POWER LOAD FORECASTING FOR SUPER HIGH VOLTAGE POWER GRID
  • Load forecasting plays an essential role both in developed and developing
    countries for policymakers and related organizations. It helps an electrical utility
    to make important decisions including decisions on purchasing and generating
    electrical power, load switching, and infrastructure development. In recent years
    Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have been applied for short-term power load
    forecasting (STPLF). This work presents a study of STPLF for the Iraqi national
    grid by means of Radial Basis Function NN(RBFNN) and Multi-Layer
    Perceptron NN (MLPNN) model. Inputs to the ANN are past loads and the output
    of the ANN is the load forecast for given days. Historical load data obtained from
    the Control and Operation Office at the Iraqi ministry of electricity has been split
    into two main parts, where 50% of the data are used for the training and the other
    50% has been devoted to test the trained network. Simulations have been
    accomplished in MATLAB environment, where the data have been preprocessed
    and rearranged. Lastly, the simulation results proved that the predicted load
    values are following closely the actual load.